Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.194240 0.228720 0.267231 0.313389 0.367172 0.427821 0.501367
2025-09-21 0.140300 0.183961 0.237872 0.309165 0.400797 0.514438 0.665904
2025-09-28 0.110632 0.157192 0.219136 0.307229 0.428911 0.590654 0.821524
2025-10-05 0.096237 0.146022 0.216407 0.322584 0.478022 0.696459 1.025806
2025-10-12 0.086730 0.139311 0.217663 0.342017 0.533371 0.815369 1.260837
2025-10-19 0.076923 0.130118 0.213251 0.351386 0.573687 0.915540 1.478512
2025-10-26 0.067212 0.119292 0.204352 0.351808 0.599108 0.994552 1.671066
2025-11-02 0.057308 0.106464 0.190175 0.341220 0.604573 1.041407 1.815858
2025-11-09 0.048252 0.093641 0.174083 0.324867 0.597637 1.066054 1.924918
2025-11-16 0.043069 0.087022 0.167837 0.324718 0.618269 1.138603 2.122392
2025-11-23 0.037502 0.078815 0.157544 0.315666 0.621384 1.180130 2.268274
2025-11-30 0.034513 0.075221 0.155403 0.321568 0.652640 1.274936 2.520080
2025-12-07 0.031012 0.070322 0.150578 0.322644 0.676795 1.362915 2.776333
2025-12-14 0.027325 0.064493 0.143172 0.317718 0.688879 1.430050 3.001932
2025-12-21 0.024404 0.059858 0.137562 0.315678 0.706402 1.509462 3.260344
2025-12-28 0.023247 0.059064 0.140089 0.331433 0.763215 1.674152 3.710540
2026-01-04 0.022466 0.059030 0.144280 0.351378 0.831406 1.869471 4.245515
2026-01-11 0.021036 0.057169 0.143998 0.360993 0.877596 2.022594 4.705682
2026-01-18 0.019193 0.053955 0.140060 0.361426 0.902695 2.132129 5.081146
2026-01-25 0.016940 0.049290 0.131926 0.350560 0.899773 2.178498 5.318770
2026-02-01 0.014671 0.044196 0.121979 0.333776 0.880371 2.184791 5.464117
2026-02-08 0.013446 0.041814 0.118696 0.333623 0.902130 2.289689 5.853195
2026-02-15 0.011964 0.038435 0.112283 0.324332 0.899457 2.335558 6.104258